Thomas Otten, Bohdan Slutskyi, Daryna Romanchuk, Maria Repko

Abolishing of the VAT exemption for the simplified tax system – summary of results

Ukraine
Policy Briefing PB 01 01| 2026
Governance und öffentliche Verwaltung
 
 
Content
  1. Introduction
  2. Overview of the current system
  3. STS impact on shadow economy and tax evasion
  4. Statistical evidence of the misuse and tax avoidance
  5. The VAT reform proposal under STS
  6. Impact analysis of the STS VAT reform
  7. Implementation challenges
  8. Policy recommendations
  9. Annex
Motivation
» STS reform is a priority under the IMF–Ukraine EFF, with mandatory VAT registration for
simplified tax system (STS) taxpayers above the UAH 1 m threshold planned for 2027.

» Originally designed to support genuinely micro-scale businesses growth, STS is misused
by larger firms to remain within the regime and outside the VAT system.

» Sales to non-VAT registered private entrepreneurs (PEs) under STS act as structural
breakpoints in the VAT сhain, where invoice-based traceability ends before reaching the
final consumer.

» This weakens transaction traceability, particularly in goods-related activities involving
undeclared, or grey-imported products and enables tax avoidance practices.

» PEs under STS reported around UAH 2.5 tn (~EUR 50 bn) turnover in 2024.

» A limitation of the analysis is that it relies on 2024 data, as the available statistics on the
distribution of PEs by number and turnover are reported for 2024

About the German Economic Team

The German Economic Team is financed by the Federal Ministry for Economic Affairs and Energy (BMWE). Berlin Economics is commissioned with the project implementation.